Figure 1.

Assuming their income goes up at 3% per year, in 5 years they will be making $67,531 but will only be saving $406 more than they would be saving if they utilized the standard deduction. {6}

The amount of income tax savings is decreasing because the amount of interest is less each year and the amount of principal increases each year. The amount of mortgage interest paid in the fifth year will be $8,367 and the amount of principal will be $1,692.

The Jones family cash flow will then be:

$67,531
- 5,166 FICA {7}
- 8,245 Federal Income Tax
- 10,059 Mortgage Payment
$44,061 Net Amount Remaining

However, if Fred and Joan want to actually own their home they will see a rapidly decreasing benefit from the mortgage interest deduction as they pay down the loan. In fact, by the 14th year, it will be better for Fred and Joan to take the standard deduction of $6,900 rather than the standard deduction of $6,900 rather than the mortgage interest deduction of $6,888. {8} Moreover, if Fred and Joan had purchased a home with a mortgage of $99,000 instead of $126,000, they would have saved nothing from the mortgage interest deduction.

This is one of the primary reasons that 65,400,000 Americans are home owners {9} but only 29,396,016 Americans take the mortgage interest deduction.{10} For many of these 29,396,016 Americans the benefits of the mortgage interest deduction are, like for Fred and Joan, marginal and more illusory than real.

If they actually pay the mortgage on their $140,000 home, Fred and Joan will have paid $175,781 in interest and $126,000 in after-tax principal for which they would have had to earn $148,000 and pay $22,000 of federal income taxes to net $126,000.

Contrast the above scenario with the situation if Fred and Joan purchased their home after the passage of the NRST using the same purchase price and 30-year mortgage at 7% interest.

Fred and Joan will receive their income without any income tax withholding. They, not the bureaucrats in Washington, will decide how much income tax they pay by how much they elect to spend on retail purchases. No longer are Fred and Joan treated as children or mentally deficient adults but as adults capable of making their own decisions.

Fred and Joan receive $58,234 in income, which is the earnings of $60,000 reduced by $4,590, the amount of the FICA withheld and increased by $2,824, the amount of the NRST rebate {11} to a family of four. Like under the federal income tax, the NRST will tax the principal of the house purchased by Fred and Joan. Under H.R. 2001, the bill introduced by Congressmen Dan Schaefer (R-CO) and Billy Tauzin (R-LA) that replaces the income tax and the IRS with an NRST collected by the states, the $140,000 purchase price of the house will be taxed by the NRST, resulting in a tax owed of $24,706. This tax can be paid either at the time the house is purchased or over a 30-year period. If the election is made to pay the $24,706 over 30 years then Fred and Joan will pay $73 per month or $876 per year.

The $8,780 of mortgage interest will not be subject to the NRST. {12} At the end of year one we see the results shown in figure 2.

Figure 2.

After 5 years under the NRST, and assuming a 3% increase in their income, Fred and Joan would have the following net amounts of money under the NRST and the present income tax as shown in figure 3.

Figure 3.

Now, we have assumed that the interest rate to be paid by Fred and Joan would be the same under the present income tax and the NRST.

This is really not the case. Economists agree that interest rates under the NRST will decline by at least as much as the difference between the municipal bond rate and the standard, non-tax free bonds. Some believe that the reduction will be much greater as America becomes the greatest place for investment and funds flood into the United States from all around the world. However, if we just assume the smaller reduction this will mean that the mortgage rate will be not 7% but 5.5%. {15}

This would mean that the mortgage payments and total cost of the mortgage for Fred and Joan would be reduced. Below are comparisons of the present income tax and the NRST with the lower interest rate. Here is a recap of the new costs and the comparison shown in figure 4.

Figure 4.

This means that the total cost of paying off the mortgage under the NRST is $131,548 of interest, $126,000 of principal and $24,705 NRST tax for a total of $282,253. Contrast this to $323,781, the amount that would have to be earned and spent under the federal income tax, a difference of

$41,258.

Yet another factor we have not addressed is that under the NRST, it will be much easier for Fred and Joan to save the money needed to purchase their home. Under the present income tax in order for Fred and Joan to save the $10,000 that they need for the down payment on their home, they will have to earn $11,765 and pay income taxes of $1,765 to net $10,000. If they deposit the money in a savings account then the interest will also be taxable.

However, under the NRST, Fred and Joan will only have to earn $10,000 and save that amount because earnings are not taxable under the NRST. Any interest earned on a savings or investment will not be taxed under the NRST. The NRST gives Fred and Joan the ability to keep all the money that they don't spend whether the source is earnings or a return on their savings and investment.

There are a number of other things that we have not taken into account when we do our comparison. The foremost of these is that the economic studies that have been done on the affect on the rate of growth in the economy after the enactment of the NRST all show increased rates of growth and increased rates of productivity. This is very important because increases in income are derived from increases in productivity.

What does the increased economic growth mean to each of us? If the economy had grown at the same rate since 1973 as it did prior to 1973, the average family would have an additional $10,000 per year in disposable income.

It is time for Americans to quit accepting $5,000 cats and demand a tax system that really works for America, the NRST.

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FOOTNOTES

{1} This is omitting the cost of any private mortgage insurance.

{2} Each family member receives a $2650 personal exemption or $10,600 for a family of four.

{3} For purposes of our example we are not considering any deductions that might be available would increase the amount of itemized deductions because these vary widely among taxpayers.

{4} The $457 in savings would be increased if there were additional itemized deductions like real estate taxes, state income taxes and charitable donations. For example, if Fred and Joan had an additional $1000 of deductions then they would have saved an additional $150 in their 15% income tax bracket.

{5} Federal Insurance Contributions Act

{6} This actual savings from the mortgage deduction will likely be less because the standard deduction will also have been increased.

{7} This assumes that the FICA will be assessed on $67,531.

{8} Again, this is assuming that the standard deduction for a family--of four remains at $6,900 which it will not. Therefore, the standard deduction will likely exceed the mortgage interest several years earlier.

{9} U.S. Census Bureau

{10} Statistics of Income Bulletin, published by the Internal Revenue Service

{11} The NRST rebate is determined by family size. It provides a rebate to Americans equal to the NRST on their purchases up to the poverty level. For a family of four this would be a rebate on the first $16,000 of purchases.

{12} Fred and Joan are paying the NRST on the principal over 30 years.

{13} Fred and Joan would not pay NRST on the FICA payment, the NRST payment and the mortgage payment. We are assuming that the family has savings or expenditures of an additional $5,000 not subject to the NRST - like charitable donations, education expenses or savings.

{14} We are making the same assumptions as in footnote 13.

{15} Many economists believe that the mortgage interest rate will likely be even lower because of the increase of savings and the infusion of vast amounts of capital from around the world.

{16} This assumes that the family saves or spends a total of $5,000 on items not subject to the NRST.

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